Election Atlas
How to use the 2026 Election Atlas
A guide to comparing polls, early voting and election history—and understanding what the numbers can tell us.
Read the guideAmerican Optimists journal
Election Atlas · 2026
Follow the races in one place.
Compare polls, early voting and election history across 40 Senate and governor races in 24 states.
A closer look at the numbers
Explore a race, check its sources and try different model assumptions.
Updates are scheduled daily. Coverage varies, and the projections are experimental.
From the journal
Opinion
The Prairie Patriot Perspective
Bill Lipinski reflects on the qualities of four American presidents and the importance of an engaged and knowledgeable voting public.
Read the essay
Opinion
A Nation of Gamblers Should Build Something
America’s appetite for risk needs a better outlet.
Read the essay
Opinion
The Prairie Patriot Perspective
Bill Lipinski on immigration, assimilation, regulated capitalism and defending the American republic.
Read the essayOpinion
American Exceptionalism: Reality or Myth?
Bill Lipinski makes the case for American exceptionalism, tracing its ideals and influence from the founding era to the present.
Read the essay
Infrastructure
The Next American Century Is Ours to Build
AI, American production, and the infrastructure that can turn national strength into family prosperity.
Read the essay